Green-Red was found near Stuttgart, 21, a compromise formula. But if the project fails, will train no choice: it must sue for damages in the billions. Then it is really expensive for Baden-Württemberg – and the country still has no good station.
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Hamburg – In the solution of problems similar to Rüdiger Grube Chancellor Angela Merkel: The Railway boss thinks conflicts from the end. He wonders how a solution will look like in the face of opposing views does play, his options through – and usually opts for the alternative that he considers most reasonable.
This pattern was mine, even after the state elections in Baden-Wuerttemberg. With the Greens the most widely respected anti-Stuttgart-21 team has won the election, it is sufficient for a majority but only with the We-are-in principle-by-the-underground-station-SPD.
The train chief was clear that both parties would find, given their differences in a Formula compromise that postponed the final decision on the massive infrastructure project. Accordingly, he did not believe in simply continue building to run so with a thick head against a wall in doubt even thicker. Also, a muddling through for him was not a viable alternative. The railway would then have to put under-take further potter above ground to prevent it from striking.
More cooperation than confrontation
Mine thought it was tactically wise to send a signal of cooperation. He explained why End of March, a de facto building freeze. Without losing anything really – except for a few million and pleasant side effect, the bogeyman role – was able to show the manager that you can talk to him about almost everything.
By 12 May, the day is to be elected at the Winfried Kretschmann in Stuttgart for the first Green Prime Minister manages the Group no new facts. According to the company by incurring a cost of 10 to 20 million €. Peanuts with a 4.5-billion-euro project.
In two weeks the deadline expires. In the future the railway will put more on cooperation than confrontation. "We will not build Stuttgart 21 when the state government, the project will not partout" – this sentence can not top web quote officially to hear he is on the upper floors of the headquarters in Berlin, though.
Baden-Wuerttemberg have to pay the costs themselves
However, the compromise has its price. First, will the web has a rapid "Hopp oder Top" – decision. By its own calculations, a one-year stop the building costs already up to 400 million euros. That doing nothing is more expensive, has a simple background: Because the construction work is more complex, increasing the number of highly doped orders.
Second, Grube’s motto is: who blows off Stuttgart 21, is possible down to the last cent to pay for the damage. He could also say: "Dear government, give us 1.5 billion euros, and we put everything together good." This lush amount invested by the Railway claims to already in the project.
It is made up as follows:
- In 2001, the company huge Railway land to the City of Stuttgart sold. Price when 420 million euros. At the same time, the Group undertook to free the region by 2012. There will establish a new urban district. If the Stuttgart main station in the future instead of running under the ground, the tracks are soft but not worldwide. The railway would have to buy back the land – but pay according to the contract an additional 5.5 percent interest per year. That would be 2012 – an unwelcome effect of compound interest – already 720 million euros.
- So far, the path around 600 million euros in the Planning and construction invested Stuttgart 21 and the new route to Ulm. At least the cost of the underground station would reclaim the car.
- In addition, the group from a municipal airport Construction cost subsidy in the amount of 100 million euros obtained. That he would have to pay back.
- Join Other costs – Including further land purchases – which by the company on 100 to 200 million € be quantified.
It’s quite possible that the calculated path of its more than 1.5 billion € zurückbekäme not in its entirety. charged that the country in a withdrawal from the project damages of at least one billion euros would have to apply, however, as identified by experts.
application and in all probability would have to Baden-Württemberg that amount alone. Because the country can not even get out of the mega-projects actually. The contracts include a clause is not available. Not even in the event that the government changes or the causes of the dispute agreed stress test for the station further costs.
The whole thing is even more complicated. About Stuttgart 21 monitors, a steering committee, sitting in the train, the federal government, the country, the city of Stuttgart and the Stuttgart region, several financiers of the project. This body can make decisions only by unanimity. This also applies to off – the negative attitude future green prime minister out, Possible results of a stress test and a referendum ago.
Mine can not do otherwise
Wanted to get off the land, it would have the consent of the other parties – particularly by train – buy expensive. This would have quite absurd. Currently share the cost of Stuttgart 21 in the amount of 4.1 billion EUR roughly as follows:
German Railways: 1.47 billion euros
Association: 1.23 billion euros
Country: 820 million euros
City of Stuttgart: 240 million euros
Stuttgart Airport: 230 million euros
Verband Region Stuttgart: 100 million €
That formula means: Should this country a billion euros to pay compensation, this would be more expensive for the red-green government as a construction of Stuttgart 21 You would have paid big money, but no new station.
Exit costs of 1 to 1.5 billion euros also mean: Will the cost of the project at the current maximum estimated 4.5 billion euros, is accrued to a third of the total already. And there are the expenses for the recovery of Status quo ante in the center of the town, and the income restoration of the terminus station, not even counted.
And whether the green-red bill, "No Stuttgart 21, yes to the new route to Ulm is a success is questionable. Because their connection to the terminal station is not even begin to secure. Not to mention the cost entirely.
The hope that the web is still some way back down, is also deceptive. That CEO mine lives in Stuttgart and the company is still 100 percent in federal ownership, is – although it is obvious – no help.
With a bit of local color and a little "left State pocket, right pocket state" the problem will not be solved. The railway is a public company that is 100 percent owned by the federal government. And the CEO of a corporation is – as Chancellor and Minister to the country – committed to prevent harm to the company.
Mine would enter a deal at the expense of the railway, saying that is the future prime minister, "Come on, we blow pays 21 from Stuttgart, and the path to foot the bill," he would probably not only loose his job as CEO. He would at worst damage claims threaten.